← Card Merchant Hamilton Regionals (DTR)
Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at Card Merchant Hamilton Regionals (DTR)
decks
1
(2.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
4-1-1
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
62.7%
avg ELO +6.8 per match
expected value
54.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1339
· median 1339
· range 1339–1339
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1043
Q1 1184
Q3 1430
1584
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.8% | +4.6 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 7.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.6 |
| Wind Allies | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.5% | -2.4 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.8% | +10.9 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Seiryuu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
